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Luan Shenghua
Tel:  86-10-64850930
Mailing Address:  16 Lincui Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, China.
Email:  luansh@psych.ac.cn

Brief Biography
Shenghua Luan is the principal investigator of the Risk And Uncertainty Management (RAUM) lab at the Institute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS). The start fund of the lab comes from a “Pioneer 100 Talents Program, Category A (Academic Leaders)” grant awarded to Shenghua by the CAS.
Shenghua is a cognitive psychologist who has a wide range of interests in judgment and decision-making research, including heuristics in judgment and decision making, group decision processes, wisdom of the crowds, organizational and managerial decision-making, human cooperative behavior, risk communications, and sports and business forecasting. In his research, Shenghua combines the descriptive approach (i.e., how do people make judgments and decisions?) with a prescriptive one (i.e., how can we help people improve their judgments and decisions?) and applies a variety of methods for investigation (e.g., human experiments, cognitive modeling, computer simulations, and analysis of archival data). Findings of Shenghua’s previous research have been published in top-tier journals, including Psychological Review, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, and Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. RAUM was established in June 2018 and is under fast and steady development. For those who are interested in and seek more information about the research of the lab, please contact Dr. Luan directly.

Ph.D., Cognitive Psychology???????? University of Florida, August 2004?
B.A., Psychology?????????????????????????? Peking University, China, July 1999

Academic Appointments
From 2018.06: Professor and Principal Investigator
? Institute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
From 2017.10: Associate Researcher
? Harding Center for Risk Literacy
? Center for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development
2017.10 – 2018.05: Associate Professor (with tenure)?
??Department of Psychology, Tsinghua University
2011.07 – 2017.09: Research Scientist & Senior Research Scientist
Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development
2014.07 – 2017.09: Assistant Director
Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development
2006.07 – 2011.06: Assistant Professor?
? School of Social Sciences, Singapore Management University
2004.09 – 2006.06: Postdoctoral Fellow?
Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development

Research Interests:

Heuristics in judgment and decision making
Group decision processes and the wisdom of crowds
Organizational and managerial decision making
Cooperation and human cooperative behavior
Sports and business forecasting
Risk literacy and communications

Community service:
Selected Publications:

Reb, J., Greguras, G. J., & Luan, S. (in press). Performance trends matter: But why, how, and when??Academy of Management Discoveries (https://doi.org/10.5465/amd.2017.0133)
Ruggeri, A., Luan, S., Keller, M., & Gummerum, M. (2017). The influence of adult and peer role models on children’s and adolescents’ sharing decisions. Child Development (https://doi.org/10.1111/cdev.12916)
Luan, S., & Reb, J. (2017). Fast-and-frugal trees as process models of performance-based personnel decisions. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 141, 29-42.
Tan, J. H., Luan, S, & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2017). A signal-detection approach to modeling forgiveness decisions. Evolution and Human Behavior, 38, 21-38.?
Hozo, I., Djulbegovic, B., Luan, S., Tsalatsanis, A., Gigerenzer, G. (2015). Towards theory integration: Threshold model as a link between signal detection theory, fast-and-frugal trees, and evidence accumulation theory. Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice. (https://doi.org/10.1111/ jep.12490).
Luan, S., Schooler, L. J., & Gigerenzer, G. (2014). From perception to preference and on to inference: An approach-avoidance analysis of thresholds. Psychological Review, 121, 501-525.
Reb, J., Greguras, G., Luan, S., & Daniels, M. (2013). Making performance judgments. In Highhouse, S., Dalal, R. S., & Salas, E. (Eds.), Judgment and decision making at work (pp. 13-36). New York: Routledge.
Luan S., Katsikopoulos K. V., & Reimer, T. (2012)?When does diversity trump ability (and vice versa) in group decision making? A simulation study. PLoS ONE 7(2): e31043.
Verweij, M., Luan, S., & Nowacki, M. (2011). How to test cultural theory: Suggestions for future research. PS: Political Science and Politics, 44, 745-748.
Luan, S., Schooler, L. J., & Gigerenzer, G. (2011). A signal detection analysis of fast-and-frugal trees. Psychological Review, 118, 316-338.
Reprinted in Decision, Supplementary Issue (2013), 24-55.
Luan, S., Sorkin, R. D., & Itzkowitz, J. (2004). Weighting information from outside sources: A biased process. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 17, 95-116.